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Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 5:48 am
by PhDhawk
Dotson is priority one.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 8:41 am
by Lonestarjayhawk
Dotson is the 66th best player in this year's draft...he will be back. Grimes is the 72nd best. Math never lies...

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 8:46 am
by CrimsonNBlue
Lonestarjayhawk wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 8:41 am Dotson is the 66th best player in this year's draft...he will be back. Grimes is the 72nd best. Math never lies...
Unsubstantiated data lie though. All the time.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 8:58 am
by Lonestarjayhawk
CrimsonNBlue wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 8:46 am
Lonestarjayhawk wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 8:41 am Dotson is the 66th best player in this year's draft...he will be back. Grimes is the 72nd best. Math never lies...
Unsubstantiated data lie though. All the time.
Where do you think Dotson falls, if not at 66th?

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 9:19 am
by CrimsonNBlue
I don't understand why my personal rankings (assuming they even exist) has any relevance. I have seen Dotson as high as 30th on boards and as low as around 70. I think it is a logical assumption that he very likely falls somewhere in between those two numbers--perhaps even right in the middle.

My point is:

1. Those numbers you are citing are almost entirely arbitrary. They don't come from any NBA team. They are entirely the opinion of one person/journalist.

2. They have absolutely no bearing on an NBA team's selection. They are neither more or less influential on the actual draft if they had Dotson ranked 4th instead of 66th.

3. Even if those numbers came directly from an NBA team, they are still not predictive of the actual draft. It assumes that NBA teams take the player that directly correlates to where they sit in the rankings. i.e. "we have the 45th pick, we are going to take the 45th best prospect (or best available)." That is not how teams draft, particularly in the 2nd round.

What we do know: Dotson is one of about 40 players that are playing at the combine--not all of which will stay in the draft. His measurables did not kill him by any means yesterday. We found out that he has above average athleticism for the position. We already knew that he was likely the fastest player in the country. During the scrimmages, he was far from the worst player on the court. His age currently is working to his advantage. He's the best freshman PG we've seen here in the past 15+ years, which is saying something at a program like Kansas.

Add that all up: it's hard to see him not being drafted this summer, provided that he stays in the draft, which is way less of a given, and I both think and hope that he does not.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 9:20 am
by TDub
PhDhawk wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 5:48 am Dotson is priority one.
Agreed. Although not sure anyone has much control over that besides Dotson. Himself and whoever's in his ear at the combine and workout stuff

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 9:35 am
by jfish26
CrimsonNBlue wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 9:19 am I don't understand why my personal rankings (assuming they even exist) has any relevance. I have seen Dotson as high as 30th on boards and as low as around 70. I think it is a logical assumption that he very likely falls somewhere in between those two numbers--perhaps even right in the middle.

My point is:

1. Those numbers you are citing are almost entirely arbitrary. They don't come from any NBA team. They are entirely the opinion of one person/journalist.

2. They have absolutely no bearing on an NBA team's selection. They are neither more or less influential on the actual draft if they had Dotson ranked 4th instead of 66th.

3. Even if those numbers came directly from an NBA team, they are still not predictive of the actual draft. It assumes that NBA teams take the player that directly correlates to where they sit in the rankings. i.e. "we have the 45th pick, we are going to take the 45th best prospect (or best available)." That is not how teams draft, particularly in the 2nd round.

What we do know: Dotson is one of about 40 players that are playing at the combine--not all of which will stay in the draft. His measurables did not kill him by any means yesterday. We found out that he has above average athleticism for the position. We already knew that he was likely the fastest player in the country. During the scrimmages, he was far from the worst player on the court. His age currently is working to his advantage. He's the best freshman PG we've seen here in the past 15+ years, which is saying something at a program like Kansas.

Add that all up: it's hard to see him not being drafted this summer, provided that he stays in the draft, which is way less of a given, and I both think and hope that he does not.
Not to mention the winner's curse element of the draft - it truly doesn't matter if his "average" across draft boards falls at 59 or 61. If there's 5+ teams that have a 30-45 grade on him...he'll go 30-45.

Is that enough to compel him to stay in the draft? I personally (and selfishly) hope not.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 9:40 am
by CrimsonNBlue
If he's only a better jumper and A/TO number away from being first round, that seems like a great reason to return. Those are very fixable things in one year of college ball.

Grimes should return, too, but for way different reasons. Aka, his flaws probably aren't fixable in one year. Dedric should stay in the draft for that same reason.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 9:43 am
by jfish26
CrimsonNBlue wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 9:40 am If he's only a better jumper and A/TO number away from being first round, that seems like a great reason to return. Those are very fixable things in one year of college ball.

Grimes should return, too, but for way different reasons. Aka, his flaws probably aren't fixable in one year. Dedric should stay in the draft for that same reason.
I don't think it's just about A/TO with Dotson. He's got to develop a better feel for the game generally. I personally think that's more likely in 35+ competitive college games than 50 anonymous G League games. But I'm very biased.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 9:47 am
by CrimsonNBlue
jfish26 wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 9:43 amI don't think it's just about A/TO with Dotson. He's got to develop a better feel for the game generally.
Yes, that's what I was getting at.


What has nothing to w/ bias, though: 1st round contracts are way better than 2nd round contracts.

And, Dotson doesn't seem like a prospect that is in jeopardy of falling off the board completely by coming back for another season (like Grimes).

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 9:50 am
by CrimsonNBlue

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 10:28 am
by jfish26
It sure COULD.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 10:37 am
by CrimsonNBlue
jfish26 wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 10:28 amIt sure COULD.
https://twitter.com/PreciousAchiuwa/sta ... 5323640834

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 11:16 am
by JayhawkInIowa726
Precious to Memphis (No room for RJ at the Memphis Inn?)

https://www.commercialappeal.com/story/ ... 180052001/

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 11:41 am
by sdoyel
I don't get the Memphis hype.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 11:48 am
by MICHHAWK
sdoyel wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 11:41 am I don't get the Memphis hype.
The allure of the aac is too much for the children to resist.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 11:49 am
by CrimsonNBlue
sdoyel wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 11:41 am I don't get the Memphis hype.
Will be over before we start to understand it.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 11:51 am
by jfish26
CrimsonNBlue wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 11:49 am
sdoyel wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 11:41 am I don't get the Memphis hype.
Will be over before we start to understand it.
It's a no-win for Memphis in the long haul. If the approach works, the architect will (deservedly) get a better job (sound familiar?). And if it doesn't...well then it's a waste.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 11:52 am
by twocoach
A roster full of freshmen. Feels like a good 5 seed to pick to be upset in the 1st round.

Re: Recruiting 2019

Posted: Fri May 17, 2019 11:54 am
by twocoach
jfish26 wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 11:51 am
CrimsonNBlue wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 11:49 am
sdoyel wrote: Fri May 17, 2019 11:41 am I don't get the Memphis hype.
Will be over before we start to understand it.
It's a no-win for Memphis in the long haul. If the approach works, the architect will (deservedly) get a better job (sound familiar?). And if it doesn't...well then it's a waste.
Sounds like the assumptions made about Chris Beard right up until he signed a massive extension to stay at Texas Tech.